monsoon prediction in kerala 2020

This is the second time this decade when the southwest monsoon has arrived on the dot, on June 1. The silent features are given below: This year, the onset of southwest monsoon over Kerala is likely to be slightly delayed as compared to normal date of onset of 1st June. The wettest monsoon ever recorded was in 1964 with 13.84 inches, and the driest was in 1924 with 1.59 inches. And once again, the Indian Meteorological Department's prediction was more or less on target. Click on the Menu icon of the browser, it opens up a list of options. Rainfall between 96 to 104 per cent of the LPA are considered "normal" monsoon. In 2018, the IMD said the monsoon will lash Kerala on May 29, and May 29 it was. The normal onset of monsoon over Kerala … In its first monsoon forecast on April 15, the IMD had said the monsoon will be 100 per cent of the LPA. May 16, 2020 On 15th May, the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD), has come out with the Monsoon 2020 forecast and it anticipates slight delay in monsoon onset over Kerala. Monsoon seasonal (Jun-Sep) rainfall is likely to be 100% of Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of ±5%. On April 15, Madhavan Rajeevan, Secretary of Ministry of Earth Sciences forecast that monsoon rains this year are likely to be normal at 100 per cent of the long period average with a model error of 5 per cent. The IMD, in its onset date forecast on May 15, had said the monsoon is likely to hit the southern state on June 5, four days after its normal arrival. Go Back to Article Page. The model based on Principal Component Regression technique uses the following six predictors: i) Minimum Temperature over North-west India, ii) Pre-monsoon rainfall peak over south Peninsula, iii) Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR) over south China Sea, (iv) Lower tropospheric zonal wind over southeast Indian ocean, (v) upper tropospheric zonal wind over the east equatorial Indian Ocean, and (vi) Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR) over south-west Pacific region. In 2017, the IMD said the rains would come on May 30, and it came on that day. Thiruvananthapuram: The southwest monsoon is likely to hit Kerala on June 1, thanks to a cyclonic circulation over the Bay of Bengal, the India Meteorological Department said on Thursday. This year, the IMD has forecast a normal monsoon … Loading next story. To start receiving timely alerts, as shown below click on the Green “lock” icon next to the address bar. On the back of the forecast of normal monsoon in April, the agriculture ministry had already set a target of record foodgrain output (298 million tonnes) for 2020 … The person posting the comment will be in sole ownership of its responsibility. The comments posted here/below/in the given space are not on behalf of Onmanorama. Sanjeeb Mukherjee | New Delhi Last Updated at June 1, 2020 13:00 IST The southwest monsoon has arrived over Kerala, marking the start of a four-month long rainfall season, said the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Monday. © Copyright 2021 Manorama Online. On May 28, IMD had issued a forecast, 'Conditions are very likely to become favourable from June 1, 2020, for the onset of southwest Monsoon over Kerala.' The four-month monsoon season from June to September accounts for 75 per cent of rainfall in the country. All Rights Reserved. Here click on the “Privacy & Security” options listed on the left hand side of the page. Monsoon made the onset over Kerala on May 30th. Last time it came on the traditionally appointed date was 2013. A pop up will open with all listed sites, select the option “ALLOW“, for the respective site under the status head to allow the notification. “This year, the onset of southwest monsoon over Kerala is likely to be slightly delayed as … It advances northwards and covers the entire country by July 15. "Southwest #Monsoon2020 finally arrived on the mainland of India, #Monsoon arrived on Kerala before the actual onset date. The IMD had predicted the 2020 onset on June 5 but it has come four days earlier on June 1. Southwest monsoon is like a lifeline for India's farmers & the entire agricultural sector. https://tennews.in/forecast-for-the-2020-southwest-monsoon-onset-over-kerala Then, the IMD forecast the southwest monsoon to make a landing on May 30 but the rains actually ended up coming only on June 5, five days later. Ltd. 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